Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (112-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 37 | 10-23 | 3-8 | 8-10 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 37 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 12-21 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter