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2023-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +11 (111-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 38 10-21 3-6 4-4 10 11 0 0 27 - -
Dillon Brooks * 36 7-17 2-10 1-2 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 5-17 0-5 4-5 7 0 2 2 14 - -
Brandon Clarke * 27 5-9 0-0 5-5 7 3 3 0 15 - -
Ziaire Williams * 26 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 7 - -
Tyus Jones 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 18 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 2-2 0-0 1-1 8 3 3 0 5 - -
David Roddy 15 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Jake LaRavia 12 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 37 7-17 3-10 2-2 8 7 3 0 19 - -
Anthony Edwards * 36 9-18 3-5 4-6 7 7 0 1 25 - -
Rudy Gobert * 31 3-5 0-0 1-2 13 1 1 3 7 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 4-10 0-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson * 27 9-16 4-7 1-1 3 6 2 1 23 - -
Austin Rivers 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 20 3-6 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Nathan Knight 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Naz Reid 16 4-6 1-3 0-2 3 1 2 1 9 - -

* = starter