Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (131-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 16-29 | 2-7 | 7-18 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 32 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 14 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 35 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 34 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter