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2023-01-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (32.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: LA Clippers +38 (138-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 31 7-13 0-2 5-6 3 3 0 0 19 12 -
Keita Bates-Diop * 27 4-8 2-5 3-6 6 1 0 0 13 12 -
Malaki Branham * 26 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 5 -
Tre Jones * 26 4-10 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 8 4 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 5-9 0-0 0-2 2 3 0 0 10 6 -
Doug McDermott 22 3-8 3-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 11 8 -
Blake Wesley 21 2-5 0-2 2-4 2 2 1 0 6 6 -
Isaiah Roby 20 5-9 2-2 2-3 7 2 0 0 14 14 -
Zach Collins 18 3-8 0-1 1-1 10 2 0 1 7 12 -
Stanley Johnson 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 5 7 -
Gorgui Dieng 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 35 14-19 5-8 2-3 4 7 3 1 35 31 -
Kawhi Leonard * 31 10-16 2-6 5-6 3 7 1 0 27 22 -
Terance Mann * 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 6 -
Ivica Zubac * 20 4-5 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 2 11 13 -
Luke Kennard * 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Nicolas Batum 25 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 10 -
Norman Powell 21 4-11 3-7 4-4 2 0 0 0 15 6 -
Robert Covington 21 5-7 3-5 0-0 7 1 2 3 13 19 -
Reggie Jackson 15 5-10 0-3 2-2 0 3 2 0 12 7 -
Brandon Boston Jr. 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Amir Coffey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
Moussa Diabate 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jason Preston 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 8 -

* = starter