Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (95-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 39 | 10-18 | 5-6 | 11-14 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 42 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 38 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 6-20 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter