Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 9-20 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 26 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 24 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 24 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 23 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 27 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis | 26 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter