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2023-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +2 (122-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 10-20 2-7 7-12 4 12 2 1 29 - -
Desmond Bane * 34 7-17 2-7 4-6 3 4 1 1 20 - -
Brandon Clarke * 32 8-10 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 0 19 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 3-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 0 10 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 4-11 2-3 7-8 6 0 0 0 17 - -
Ziaire Williams 23 1-7 0-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Santi Aldama 20 5-5 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 13 - -
Tyus Jones 18 3-6 0-1 1-1 1 5 1 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 0 3 - -
David Roddy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 34 9-23 5-10 1-2 3 3 1 0 24 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-19 4-8 10-11 2 3 2 0 34 - -
Draymond Green * 32 3-3 0-0 2-4 13 7 1 3 8 - -
Jordan Poole * 30 8-14 2-6 3-4 5 7 1 0 21 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 23 5-6 1-1 2-2 2 4 0 1 13 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 34 3-7 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 8 - -
Kevon Looney 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 4 - -
Anthony Lamb 19 2-6 0-3 1-2 5 3 0 0 5 - -
JaMychal Green 10 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 1 1 0 5 - -

* = starter