Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (132-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 27 | - | |
| John Collins * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 11-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 13-22 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 30 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Tre Mann | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter