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2023-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.9% 32.1% -
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (102-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 38 8-17 3-8 0-1 3 5 2 0 19 12 -
Anthony Edwards * 37 12-25 4-10 9-10 6 5 0 0 37 23 -
Jaden McDaniels * 34 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 10 6 -
Rudy Gobert * 34 7-12 0-0 3-5 12 3 1 1 17 22 -
Kyle Anderson * 33 3-6 0-0 4-4 3 7 2 2 10 18 -
Austin Rivers 23 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Naz Reid 13 1-1 1-1 3-4 7 0 2 2 6 16 -
Jaylen Nowell 12 2-5 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
Matt Ryan 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Nathan Knight 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 9-17 5-9 2-4 5 8 1 2 25 24 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 7-9 1-2 0-0 12 0 0 1 15 19 -
Herbert Jones * 26 2-9 0-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 1 -
Brandon Ingram * 25 4-18 0-6 5-5 5 5 1 0 13 6 -
Trey Murphy III * 20 2-5 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
Naji Marshall 26 1-6 0-2 3-4 4 4 1 1 5 9 -
Jose Alvarado 24 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 5 -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
Devonte' Graham 16 4-4 4-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 12 12 -
Willy Hernangomez 15 3-5 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 1 8 8 -

* = starter