Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 10-24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 28 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Connaughton * | 38 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 15-22 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 14 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter