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2023-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 41 12-25 5-13 4-5 9 2 1 1 33 - -
Daniel Gafford * 32 3-6 0-0 3-5 8 2 0 4 9 - -
Bradley Beal * 29 7-17 0-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 17 - -
Delon Wright * 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 5 - -
Corey Kispert * 20 2-8 1-6 2-2 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Deni Avdija 29 4-13 1-4 1-2 10 3 1 1 10 - -
Kendrick Nunn 22 5-9 2-5 0-0 4 4 2 0 12 - -
Jordan Goodwin 14 1-4 1-1 2-2 1 2 2 0 5 - -
Will Barton 8 2-5 1-2 3-3 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Taj Gibson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 38 6-19 2-8 5-6 4 7 0 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 36 10-16 0-0 1-1 11 10 3 2 21 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 33 8-13 0-0 0-2 13 1 0 1 16 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 4-14 1-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 29 2-10 0-5 2-3 7 2 0 1 6 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 20 5-9 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 0 10 - -
Tari Eason 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Bruno Fernando 11 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 4 5 - -
Garrison Mathews 11 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Josh Christopher 8 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter