Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (126-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 33 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 27 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 26 | 8-9 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter