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2023-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Log Adjusted 19.7% 80.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +31 (128-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 36 7-21 4-9 1-2 4 5 2 1 19 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 34 7-16 1-5 0-0 10 2 2 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 4-12 0-6 1-1 2 2 4 1 9 - -
Mason Plumlee * 25 6-10 0-0 5-6 6 4 0 0 17 - -
Bryce McGowens * 21 2-8 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 27 4-13 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Theo Maledon 18 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Nick Richards 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 3 4 - -
JT Thor 9 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 5 - -
James Bouknight 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Mark Williams 5 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Kai Jones 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bismack Biyombo * 31 3-6 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 5 6 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 7-16 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 1 18 - -
Chris Paul * 27 6-9 2-3 0-0 5 11 0 0 14 - -
Torrey Craig * 21 0-7 0-4 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 - -
Cameron Johnson * 17 9-11 6-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 24 - -
Dario Saric 24 6-9 3-4 4-4 8 3 0 1 19 - -
Josh Okogie 24 2-6 2-4 3-4 7 2 0 2 9 - -
Saben Lee 20 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 1 2 - -
Damion Lee 16 3-6 2-3 3-3 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Jock Landale 14 6-13 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 5 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Ish Wainright 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter