Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (126-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 36 | 12-23 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 16-29 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 32 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter