Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -1 (98-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 11-21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 9-22 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 27 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter