Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard * | 42 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 39 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 35 | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 25 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 4-19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 30 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 22 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
* = starter