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2023-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 14-21 0-0 5-5 5 3 0 1 33 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 4-14 0-7 6-7 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-14 2-2 0-0 8 5 0 2 20 - -
Patrick Williams * 27 2-5 1-3 2-2 5 0 1 1 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 24 3-7 0-3 1-2 4 3 1 0 7 - -
Alex Caruso 28 0-3 0-1 4-4 7 1 1 0 4 - -
Coby White 22 3-11 2-7 0-0 3 3 2 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 10 - -
Andre Drummond 5 3-4 0-0 1-5 5 0 0 0 7 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 40 9-14 1-1 1-1 3 10 3 0 20 - -
Buddy Hield * 38 5-14 4-11 5-5 5 4 4 3 19 - -
Myles Turner * 32 11-21 2-7 2-4 7 0 0 1 26 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 28 0-7 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 2 3 - -
Chris Duarte * 26 2-11 2-8 5-5 9 3 1 0 11 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 34 10-17 1-5 5-7 7 2 0 0 26 - -
Terry Taylor 20 5-11 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Isaiah Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 - -
Jalen Smith 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Trevelin Queen 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter