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2023-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 55.9% 44.1% -1.3 (34.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +33 (133-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 31 5-13 2-5 0-0 6 8 2 0 12 15 -
Dillon Brooks * 30 6-15 1-5 0-0 1 6 1 1 13 7 -
Xavier Tillman * 29 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 10 15 -
Desmond Bane * 28 9-13 3-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 21 18 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 7-18 3-6 2-2 5 2 1 1 19 10 -
David Roddy 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 -
Ziaire Williams 16 3-10 1-6 2-3 2 2 1 0 9 4 -
Santi Aldama 14 2-5 2-5 2-3 0 2 0 0 8 5 -
Brandon Clarke 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
John Konchar 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 -1 -
Kennedy Chandler 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jake LaRavia 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Vince Williams Jr. 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 33 7-11 5-7 1-1 9 0 0 1 20 19 -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 7-14 1-3 2-2 5 10 4 0 17 22 -
Harrison Barnes * 30 6-10 6-9 2-2 2 2 1 0 20 15 -
Domantas Sabonis * 30 7-13 0-1 0-0 10 11 0 0 14 22 -
Kevin Huerter * 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 2 -
Trey Lyles 25 8-11 6-8 2-2 7 0 2 3 24 25 -
Malik Monk 23 5-9 2-5 1-1 9 8 0 0 13 21 -
Richaun Holmes 14 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
Davion Mitchell 11 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
Alex Len 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
KZ Okpala 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
PJ Dozier 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
Terence Davis 3 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Matthew Dellavedova 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter