Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (147-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 24 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 21 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 12-19 | 7-11 | 6-6 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 27 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 26 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 27 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Butler Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter