🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (111-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 7-16 0-5 7-10 3 13 0 0 21 - -
Clint Capela * 36 7-12 0-1 2-3 12 1 2 2 16 - -
Dejounte Murray * 36 9-19 2-7 0-0 7 4 0 0 20 - -
John Collins * 35 5-11 1-4 0-0 9 0 2 1 11 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 32 4-12 3-8 0-0 1 4 1 0 11 - -
AJ Griffin 30 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Johnson 15 1-4 0-1 1-4 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Holiday 11 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Frank Kaminsky 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 38 6-14 1-5 1-2 17 7 1 0 14 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 11-21 1-2 3-4 1 6 3 0 26 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 7-17 2-7 4-7 6 2 2 0 20 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 6-11 2-4 4-5 10 2 1 0 18 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 28 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 1 2 - -
Alex Caruso 28 5-9 2-4 0-0 4 2 3 1 12 - -
Coby White 21 4-12 2-9 0-0 3 3 2 0 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Andre Drummond 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter