Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -20 (130-150). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 26 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 11-17 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 30 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 15 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 13 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| AJ Green | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 30 | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 28 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 27 | 11-15 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 22 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter