Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 13-21 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 6-13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 11-23 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter