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2023-01-22

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (98-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 10-18 3-4 7-7 9 3 1 0 30 - -
Paul George * 34 6-11 1-3 8-8 6 4 1 0 21 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 31 2-7 0-2 4-5 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Ivica Zubac * 22 2-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 0 6 - -
Terance Mann * 17 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Norman Powell 30 6-12 2-5 5-5 4 1 0 0 19 - -
Nicolas Batum 28 2-5 2-5 2-2 6 0 0 2 8 - -
Robert Covington 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 6 2 1 3 - -
Reggie Jackson 15 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 10 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 38 8-17 5-10 1-4 8 1 0 2 22 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 38 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 1 1 8 - -
Luka Doncic * 38 9-21 3-7 8-13 10 4 1 0 29 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 8-18 1-5 4-5 4 5 0 0 21 - -
Dwight Powell * 21 4-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Reggie Bullock 32 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
Josh Green 29 2-7 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Davis Bertans 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter