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2023-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 39 8-15 1-1 1-1 10 12 2 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 36 5-14 3-5 3-6 12 3 0 4 16 - -
Buddy Hield * 35 7-17 5-12 3-4 8 2 2 0 22 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 29 2-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 6 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 2-9 0-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 37 6-17 0-3 11-11 5 0 1 0 23 - -
Chris Duarte 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Jalen Smith 11 4-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Oshae Brissett 11 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 5 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 9-19 2-5 2-2 4 4 4 0 22 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 29 6-12 0-0 0-3 16 2 0 3 12 - -
Damion Lee * 26 6-13 2-5 2-3 2 1 1 0 16 - -
Torrey Craig * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
Dario Saric * 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 - -
Josh Okogie 34 6-11 1-2 11-15 10 4 1 4 24 - -
Saben Lee 29 2-6 2-4 6-8 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Ish Wainright 19 2-7 2-7 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 - -
Jock Landale 17 4-7 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 17 3-13 3-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 9 - -

* = starter