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2023-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - ✓
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 12-27 1-5 3-3 4 10 1 1 28 - -
Pat Connaughton * 35 5-11 3-8 2-3 7 4 0 0 15 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 5-14 0-6 0-0 5 0 0 4 10 - -
Bobby Portis * 30 9-16 5-8 0-0 11 1 0 0 23 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 2-4 1-3 3-3 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Joe Ingles 28 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
George Hill 17 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
AJ Green 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 37 19-27 0-2 0-1 9 3 0 0 38 - -
Darius Garland * 35 9-16 1-3 2-2 3 10 2 0 21 - -
Caris LeVert * 28 4-10 3-6 2-4 3 7 1 0 13 - -
Jarrett Allen * 27 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 24 3-5 1-2 2-4 3 2 2 1 9 - -
Cedi Osman 22 4-7 1-3 4-4 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Ricky Rubio 18 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 5 2 0 3 - -
Kevin Love 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter