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2023-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% - ✗
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 ✗ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - ✗
Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -4 (118-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 11-25 7-13 5-5 3 5 4 0 34 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 8-14 4-7 3-3 6 5 1 0 23 - -
Mason Plumlee * 29 11-14 0-0 3-4 11 2 1 0 25 - -
Gordon Hayward * 25 4-9 0-1 1-1 5 5 1 2 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 27 2-7 0-4 4-4 1 8 1 0 8 - -
Bryce McGowens 26 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Mark Williams 18 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 3 0 8 - -
JT Thor 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 37 11-20 4-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 26 - -
Trae Young * 37 9-22 0-4 7-9 5 12 0 0 25 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 10-16 2-5 3-3 4 2 0 0 25 - -
John Collins * 33 3-7 1-4 4-4 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Clint Capela * 23 5-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 2 1 12 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 3 - -
AJ Griffin 23 5-7 3-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 3 - -
Jalen Johnson 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter