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2023-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% -
Margin 77.2% 22.8% -6.7 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +20 (138-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 5-9 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 2 11 - -
Markelle Fultz * 29 8-14 3-4 4-4 5 8 1 0 23 - -
Paolo Banchero * 28 5-12 1-4 4-6 1 4 0 0 15 - -
Franz Wagner * 26 5-11 1-2 9-10 4 1 0 0 20 - -
Gary Harris * 19 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 9 - -
Terrence Ross 23 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 3 6 - -
Mo Bamba 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 8 - -
Bol Bol 16 4-9 0-2 3-4 4 0 0 4 11 - -
Jalen Suggs 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Moritz Wagner 8 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Admiral Schofield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 31 9-20 5-11 2-6 10 6 0 1 25 - -
Bradley Beal * 27 7-14 2-3 1-1 4 8 0 0 17 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 6-8 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 1 14 - -
Monte Morris * 24 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 10 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 22 3-10 1-3 10-10 6 0 0 1 17 - -
Rui Hachimura 29 13-22 3-5 1-2 5 0 0 2 30 - -
Deni Avdija 24 0-5 0-3 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Delon Wright 23 5-5 3-3 2-2 3 8 3 0 15 - -
Corey Kispert 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter