Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (104-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 41 | 10-23 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 34 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 34 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 25 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 43 | 14-23 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 42 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter