Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.8% | 15.2% | -9.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 16-23 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 29 | 7-13 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 10-23 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 37 | 10-12 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 13 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter