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2023-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (122-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 3-8 1-4 5-6 6 0 1 4 12 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 6-15 2-4 2-2 8 6 1 0 16 - -
Ja Morant * 33 9-29 1-6 3-5 3 8 0 0 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-17 1-4 0-0 6 3 1 0 9 - -
Steven Adams * 25 6-7 0-0 4-9 17 2 0 1 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 7-7 0-0 6-10 10 0 1 2 20 - -
Tyus Jones 19 6-9 4-6 4-4 1 2 0 0 20 - -
Ziaire Williams 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Santi Aldama 14 1-4 0-2 2-4 5 0 1 0 4 - -
John Konchar 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 8-21 1-5 6-7 9 6 2 2 23 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 4-11 1-3 10-11 8 8 3 1 19 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 28 3-12 3-10 2-2 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Patrick Beverley * 22 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant * 21 3-8 0-3 2-2 7 1 1 1 8 - -
Russell Westbrook 30 10-18 2-4 7-11 5 6 0 1 29 - -
Kendrick Nunn 21 4-10 3-9 0-0 5 0 0 1 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 21 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Max Christie 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 9 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter