Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (134-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 15 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 7 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 11-15 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 8 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter