🐻⬇️🏀

Philadelphia 76ers 105
@
Portland Trail Blazers 95
2023-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - ✗
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 ✗ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - ✓
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (95-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 33 12-22 1-3 7-7 9 2 1 3 32 - -
James Harden * 33 6-11 1-4 3-4 10 14 0 0 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 5-11 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 29 1-5 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 1 5 - -
P.J. Tucker * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 28 7-12 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Georges Niang 17 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 2 2 - -
Shake Milton 14 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Montrezl Harrell 14 2-3 0-0 1-4 6 0 1 1 5 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 39 8-14 2-6 6-6 5 0 0 0 24 - -
Damian Lillard * 39 6-21 3-13 10-10 6 11 2 2 25 - -
Anfernee Simons * 35 6-15 2-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 16 - -
Josh Hart * 34 2-6 1-2 3-6 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 2-10 0-3 0-0 11 0 1 0 4 - -
Drew Eubanks 24 3-5 0-1 0-2 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 20 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 17 4-7 1-2 1-3 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Jabari Walker 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter