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2023-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% -
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (128-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 6-16 0-0 1-2 7 9 0 1 13 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 11-15 1-1 6-7 8 5 2 0 29 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 7-13 4-6 7-7 1 10 2 1 25 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 6-15 2-8 4-5 2 0 2 1 18 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 35 5-11 3-7 2-2 8 0 1 1 15 - -
Precious Achiuwa 20 5-8 1-1 0-4 4 1 0 2 11 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Joe Wieskamp 11 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 5-16 2-8 11-12 5 7 3 0 23 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 37 7-14 4-7 0-0 7 1 1 1 18 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 8-15 5-10 4-4 1 6 2 1 25 - -
Kyle Anderson * 33 8-9 2-2 2-3 10 6 2 1 20 - -
Naz Reid * 22 2-6 1-1 0-0 7 2 2 1 5 - -
Taurean Prince 23 3-6 0-3 0-0 0 4 0 1 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 17 5-10 1-4 2-2 1 3 2 0 13 - -
Luka Garza 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Nathan Knight 8 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Matt Ryan 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter