Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 43 | 9-25 | 6-18 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 43 | 10-25 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 39 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 48 | 9-27 | 4-13 | 12-12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 35 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 41 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 35 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Derrick White | 17 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter