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2023-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -18 (108-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-18 0-1 8-8 9 5 2 1 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-19 0-5 0-0 15 6 1 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 10-20 2-6 8-9 5 4 1 0 30 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 4-6 2-3 0-0 6 2 2 2 10 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 25 6-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 4 3 2 - -
Coby White 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 5-6 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 2 12 - -
Goran Dragic 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Marko Simonovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Carlik Jones 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 34 9-19 3-9 4-6 5 3 0 0 25 - -
Jaden Ivey * 33 7-14 1-5 1-1 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Killian Hayes * 31 2-13 0-6 0-0 1 8 2 0 4 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 1-10 0-4 5-6 11 2 0 0 7 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 6-17 2-5 2-2 9 1 3 1 16 - -
Isaiah Livers 22 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Hamidou Diallo 21 7-8 0-0 3-4 3 1 1 0 17 - -
Alec Burks 20 1-8 0-3 4-4 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Duren 18 4-4 0-0 3-4 12 1 1 2 11 - -

* = starter