Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 32 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter