Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +20 (126-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 22 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 22 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 7-12 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter