Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -26 (98-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 24 | 6-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 26 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter