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2023-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (115-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 41 9-19 4-7 1-1 4 6 1 1 23 - -
Evan Mobley * 38 9-15 0-1 0-2 15 3 1 2 18 - -
Darius Garland * 38 7-17 5-11 5-6 5 14 2 0 24 - -
Jarrett Allen * 36 6-9 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 2 14 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 6-6 4-4 1-2 3 1 0 2 17 - -
Lamar Stevens 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Ricky Rubio 12 2-7 1-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Love 9 1-6 1-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 32 8-17 5-8 4-4 4 4 1 0 25 - -
Ja Morant * 32 9-19 0-3 6-9 2 8 1 0 24 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-12 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 5-13 2-6 3-4 7 1 2 4 15 - -
Steven Adams * 28 6-8 0-0 1-2 10 4 1 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 7 1 3 1 7 - -
Santi Aldama 19 6-8 4-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 16 - -
Tyus Jones 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Ziaire Williams 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
John Konchar 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter