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2023-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 11-24 3-12 1-1 2 6 2 1 26 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 7-11 2-5 0-5 8 2 3 3 16 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 34 6-11 0-5 0-0 4 3 5 1 12 - -
Mason Plumlee * 29 6-8 0-0 5-6 9 1 3 0 17 - -
LaMelo Ball * 20 4-16 2-8 3-3 1 4 0 0 13 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 28 2-8 0-2 5-6 2 7 1 0 9 - -
Bryce McGowens 21 3-4 2-3 2-3 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Mark Williams 18 8-10 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 5 17 - -
JT Thor 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 39 10-16 0-1 4-4 12 6 2 1 24 - -
Jalen Green * 39 16-24 4-10 5-6 5 7 0 0 41 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 32 4-8 3-4 0-1 7 3 0 0 11 - -
Eric Gordon * 30 4-10 1-5 2-3 2 2 1 1 11 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 22 3-7 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 23 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Tari Eason 18 3-11 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Garrison Mathews 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Josh Christopher 10 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 8 - -
Usman Garuba 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter