Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (122-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 12-18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 32 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 39 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 9-19 | 2-8 | 10-12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 35 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter