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2023-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (130-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 43 10-19 4-9 4-4 3 2 4 0 28 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-13 1-4 6-11 9 3 0 1 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 15-28 6-12 3-3 9 7 0 0 39 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 6-15 0-3 2-5 13 5 3 1 14 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 34 2-13 0-4 1-2 3 2 0 1 5 - -
Precious Achiuwa 26 4-10 2-3 1-2 7 0 0 1 11 - -
Chris Boucher 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 35 16-26 5-10 0-0 6 7 2 1 37 - -
Bobby Portis * 34 5-12 0-4 2-2 12 1 0 0 12 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 8-13 4-5 5-5 5 1 1 0 25 - -
Pat Connaughton * 30 3-9 3-6 1-2 8 3 1 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 7-12 3-5 2-2 1 1 0 2 19 - -
Joe Ingles 31 4-5 2-3 5-6 6 8 0 1 15 - -
Jordan Nwora 19 1-5 1-3 4-4 3 0 1 1 7 - -
George Hill 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
AJ Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter