Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (140-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 7-20 | 3-10 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 14-17 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 41 | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 16-26 | 5-10 | 11-12 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 39 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 32 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 23 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Max Christie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter