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2023-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% -
Margin 85.9% 14.1% -9.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (118-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 12-28 6-15 11-12 7 2 0 0 41 - -
Jordan Poole * 36 12-20 7-13 1-1 7 3 2 1 32 - -
Draymond Green * 35 5-7 2-3 5-6 6 10 3 0 17 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 6-15 1-6 1-1 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 5-9 0-4 1-1 5 3 0 0 11 - -
Anthony Lamb 24 4-5 2-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Ty Jerome 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 40 5-20 4-12 2-4 11 5 1 0 16 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 36 9-15 3-7 11-12 5 3 1 2 32 - -
Monte Morris * 31 6-13 3-4 2-2 4 10 2 0 17 - -
Corey Kispert * 27 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 6-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 14 - -
Delon Wright 27 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 7 2 0 9 - -
Rui Hachimura 26 7-9 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Jordan Goodwin 14 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Deni Avdija 13 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter