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2023-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks -2 (121-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 46 7-19 0-7 6-7 8 9 0 3 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 44 10-23 5-13 8-8 5 8 2 2 33 - -
Scottie Barnes * 44 8-16 1-2 9-13 7 4 1 2 26 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 41 6-14 4-8 2-3 5 2 1 1 18 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 39 3-10 2-7 2-2 5 3 3 2 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 20 2-6 0-2 4-4 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 17 2-5 1-3 3-4 3 1 1 2 8 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 49 10-23 2-9 10-11 7 2 0 0 32 - -
Jalen Brunson * 43 11-29 2-6 2-4 7 2 0 1 26 - -
Julius Randle * 42 7-20 1-6 6-9 15 8 1 0 21 - -
Quentin Grimes * 39 3-5 2-4 2-2 7 2 1 1 10 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 36 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 11 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 3-7 1-4 7-7 1 0 0 1 14 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 - -
Obi Toppin 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Miles McBride 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter