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2023-01-16

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (113-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 35 7-12 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 14 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 8-20 3-9 6-8 0 4 0 0 25 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 34 7-9 1-1 7-9 13 2 0 1 22 - -
Trey Murphy III * 33 7-14 3-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 17 - -
Dyson Daniels * 28 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 4 0 4 - -
Jose Alvarado 33 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 5 3 0 10 - -
Devonte' Graham 14 1-4 1-4 3-3 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 9-22 5-10 7-7 6 11 1 0 30 - -
Evan Mobley * 39 8-10 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 19 - -
Jarrett Allen * 37 9-12 0-0 6-6 11 5 2 1 24 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 4-8 2-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 11 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 21 3-9 2-6 3-3 1 0 0 1 11 - -
Lamar Stevens 19 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Ricky Rubio 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Caris LeVert 15 3-5 0-1 2-5 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 15 1-7 0-4 2-2 8 3 0 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter