Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (132-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 36 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 31 | 11-16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 13-19 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 23 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 11 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter