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2023-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% -
Bradley-Terry 83.6% 16.4% -
Margin 89.6% 10.4% -11.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% -
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% -
Points Off/Def 72.3% 27.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -12 (118-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 15-23 7-12 14-14 9 5 0 0 51 42 -
Al Horford * 30 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 7 -
Derrick White * 30 5-11 3-7 6-6 3 8 0 0 19 19 -
Marcus Smart * 30 4-8 1-4 1-2 4 6 0 1 10 13 -
Robert Williams III * 27 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 8 16 -
Malcolm Brogdon 27 6-13 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 16 9 -
Grant Williams 21 3-12 2-4 1-1 9 6 0 1 9 13 -
Payton Pritchard 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Luke Kornet 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
Sam Hauser 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 36 6-17 1-4 1-2 3 7 3 0 14 10 -
P.J. Washington * 36 5-9 2-3 5-6 4 3 1 2 17 18 -
Jalen McDaniels * 35 9-15 5-7 3-3 3 1 2 0 26 17 -
LaMelo Ball * 34 8-23 5-12 4-4 5 6 0 0 25 13 -
Mason Plumlee * 31 7-9 0-0 5-9 12 7 0 0 19 29 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 24 3-10 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 8 1 -
Mark Williams 16 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 9 11 -
Bryce McGowens 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
JT Thor 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter