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2023-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (112-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 9-15 4-7 2-2 7 13 1 1 24 31 -
Joel Embiid * 35 12-21 2-5 9-12 11 4 1 1 35 31 -
Tobias Harris * 31 7-13 0-4 1-1 5 3 0 3 15 13 -
P.J. Tucker * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
De'Anthony Melton * 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 4 -
Tyrese Maxey 32 6-13 1-5 3-4 5 1 0 0 16 9 -
Georges Niang 22 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 5 0 1 8 9 -
Shake Milton 13 3-8 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 4 -
Montrezl Harrell 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Matisse Thybulle 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 36 5-11 2-6 1-1 4 0 1 1 13 8 -
LeBron James * 35 15-23 1-5 4-5 8 10 1 1 35 32 -
Dennis Schroder * 31 3-9 1-2 1-2 0 3 0 0 8 2 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 9 -
Thomas Bryant * 20 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 5 -
Russell Westbrook 33 7-14 2-5 4-5 14 11 1 1 20 33 -
Wenyen Gabriel 26 7-11 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
Kendrick Nunn 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 6 -
Max Christie 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter