Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (140-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 35 | 8-22 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 12-14 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 26 | 8-17 | 3-10 | 6-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 16-16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 24 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter